Key points
- Russia launches new campaign for recruits
- Concerns grain export deal could come to an end
- China says 'ex-USSR countries don't have actual status'
- Russia 'struggling to maintain core narrative' for invasion
- Bakhmut: Kremlin claims it has taken control of more areas
- German diplomats to be expelled from Russia
- Read our special report:Taken at gunpoint - how 15 Ukrainian orphans escaped Russia, and the thousands left behind
- Live reporting by Sharon Marris
Russian Black Sea Fleet repels drone attack on Sevastopol
Russia's Black Sea Fleet repelled a drone attack on the Crimean port of Sevastopol in the early hours of Monday, the Moscow-backed governor of the city said on social media.
"According to the latest information: one surface drone was destroyed ... the second one exploded on its own," governor Mikhail Razvozhaev wrote on the Telegram messaging app.
"Now the city is quiet."
No damage was reported.
Passenger ferry transport had been suspended in the Black Sea port city, the Interfax news agency reported, citing Sevastopol transport authorities.
No reason was given, but the agency said traffic had been suspended in the past due to drone attacks or storms.
Sevastopol, along with the rest of the Crimea, was annexed by Russia in 2014 but is internationally recognised as part of Ukraine.
There was no immediate reaction from Ukraine, but Kyiv almost never publicly claims responsibility for attacks inside Russia and on Russian-controlled territory in Ukraine.
Good morning - here's your early briefing on the latest from Ukraine
Hello and welcome back to our live coverage of the war in Ukraine.
Before we bring you the latest updates, here are the top stories from the past 24 hours:
- Former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev has threatened to terminate the Black Sea grain deal;
- It was revealed the son of Vladimir Putin's spokesman served in Ukraine under an assumed name;
- China has been criticised for its comments over sovereignty by former Soviet nations;
- At least five Russian missiles hit the eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv and surrounding districts over the weekend;
- Russia has launched a "pervasive campaign" in its latest drive for new volunteer recruits.
Medvedev threatens to terminate Black Sea grain deal
Russia's former president DmitryMedvedev has said that if the G7 bans exports toRussia, Moscow will respond by terminating the Black Sea graindeal.
In an earlier post, we reported that the deal was under threat - which is bad news for countries (many of them poorer nations) who rely on Ukrainian grain exports.
"This idea from the idiots at the G7 about a total banof exports to our country by default is beautiful in that itimplies a reciprocal ban on imports from our country, includingcategories of goods that are the most sensitive for the G7," Mr Medvedev said in a post on his Telegram channel.
"In such a case, the grain deal - and many other things thatthey need - will end for them," he added.
The G7 countries are considering anear-total ban on exports to Russia, Japan's Kyodo news agencyreported last week, citing Japanese government sources.
Ukraine will struggle to win the war and Russia will struggle to lose
Read our latest analysis from regular military expert Sean Bell:
Son of Kremlin spokesman 'served in Wagner mercenary force'
The son of Russian President Vladimir Putin's spokesman says he served in Ukraine under an assumed name.
Nikolai Peskov, 33, is the son of Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov.
He told the privately-owned Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper that he had been an artilleryman in the Wagner mercenary force.
It is a rare example of a son of a senior Russian official fighting in the war.
China criticised for comments on sovereignty of former Soviet countries
France and the Baltic statesof Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania have expressed dismay after China'sambassador in Paris questioned the sovereignty of former Sovietcountries like Ukraine.
Asked whether Crimea is part ofUkraine or not, Chinese ambassador Lu Shaye said that historically it waspart of Russia and had been offered to Ukraine by former Sovietleader Nikita Khrushchev.
In an interview aired on French television on Friday, he said: "These ex-USSR countries don't have actual status ininternational law because there is no international agreement tomaterialise their sovereign status."
France responded on Sunday by promising "full solidarity"with all the allied countries affected, which it said had gained independence "after decades of oppression".
"On Ukraine specifically, it was internationally recognisedwithin borders including Crimea in 1991 by the entireinternational community, including China," a foreign ministryspokesperson said.
The spokesperson said China will have to clarifywhether these comments reflect its position or not.
The three Baltic states, all formerly part of the SovietUnion, reacted along the same lines as France.
China has not commented further.
The interview is tweeted here by a Ukrainian political adviser:
Defensive or offensive: The battle in Putin's inner circle
The US-based Institute For The Study Of War does a regular update of the situation in Ukraine.
Its latest report says Russian military bloggers have provided enough geolocated footage and textual reports to confirm Ukrainian forces have established positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson region.
It also talks about the battle in Putin's inner circle.
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely attempting to persuade Russian President Vladimir Putin to switch to the defensive ahead of a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive.
This is while Russia is conducting offensive operations in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
Prigozhin is also pushing for Russia to focus on current frontlines rather than looking for new gains, so that they can re-group for later operations.
The institute says: "Prigozhin is not arguing for Russia to end the war and negotiate with Ukraine and the West... but is instead condemning the faction within the Kremlin that is hoping to end the war in negotiations."
"Prigozhin is actually arguing that Russia needs to meet the upcoming Ukrainian counteroffensive at full strength and try to hold the current frontlines without ending the war or entering into peace negotiations."
The institute says the Russian military command is likely attempting to convince Putin to turn to defensive operations as well - but "may be unable to bluntly deliver this message" to him.
Meanwhile, the Russian defence minister and chief of the Russian General Staff are "likely sensible to the threat of the Ukrainian counteroffensive but are likely continuing to send contract servicemen to reinforce senseless offensive operations at Putin's insistence".
The insistence on tactical gains suggests that the pro-war camp is still the main influence over Putin. But a possible shift to preparing for defensive operations could indicate that he has finally rejected the pro-war camp's views in favour of those who are more pragmatic.
"The possible success of the upcoming Ukrainian counteroffensive could determine the outcome of this struggle for influence over Putin’s decisions," the institute says.
At least five Russian missiles hit Kharkiv city and surrounding districts
At least fiveRussian missiles hit the eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv andsurrounding districts late on Saturday night.
Regional governor Oleh Sinegubov, writing on Telegram, said one missile hit a house in the village of Kotliary, just to the south of Kharkiv.
Another sparked a major fire in the city itself.
There was no confirmation of casualties.
Here are pictures from the village of Kotliary outside of Kharkiv overnight:
And while we're looking at Kharkiv, the map below shows the wider situation in that region on day 423 of the war:
Ukrainian Eurovision winners 'grateful' to UK for hosting this year's competition
A member of Eurovision-winning band Kalush Orchestra says he is grateful for UK support at this year's song contest.
The UK took over hosting duties on behalf of Ukraine due to the war.
Tymofii Muzychuk, a piper who forms part of the seven-piece Ukrainian group, said he believed "something incredible" would happen when Liverpool stages the competition next month.
Asked about the UK hosting in support of Ukraine, he said: "We are grateful to Great Britain for this support, and we are also grateful that they are hosting this year's competition.
"We believe that something incredible awaits us in Liverpool, of course, with a Ukrainian flavour."
Kalush Orchestra will perform at the Eurovision grand final on 13 May.
Muzychuk added that he and Kalush Orchestra are supporting this year's Ukrainian entrant, electronic duo Tvorchi with their song Heart Of Steel.
Meanwhile, Kalush Orchestra have released a new song - Ushme Uturbe.
Muzychuk said: "We didn't try to place any specific meaning into the song itself.
"We want people to listen to our new song, to be distracted from the moment, from any thoughts and just catch this vibe.
"Every moment is important, now more than ever."
Russia launches 'pervasive campaign' in new drive for volunteer recruits
The latest update on the conflict from the UK Ministry of Defence notes that Russia has launched a major new drive for volunteer recruits.
The MOD cites what it says is a "pervasive campaign" on Russian social media, billboards and TV.
"The new adverts appeal to potential recruits' masculine pride, appealing for 'real men', as well as highlighting the financial benefits of joining up," the MOD says.
FAQs
How did the Russia Ukraine war affect shipping? ›
Port Congestion, Container Shortage, and Surcharges
Several ports shut down due to the war, leading to rise in ocean shipping costs. Ships had to be rerouted causing congestion and leading to delays in cargo flows which worsened the global supply chain condition.
Agricultural products are Ukraine's most important exports. In 2021 they totaled $27.8 billion, accounting for 41 percent of the country's $68 billion in overall exports. Ukraine is normally the world's top producer of sunflower meal, oil, and seed and the world's top exporter of sunflower meal and oil.
When did Russia annex Georgia? ›The independent Democratic Republic of Georgia was invaded by the Red Army in 1921 and a Soviet government was installed. The government of Soviet Georgia created an autonomous administrative unit for Transcaucasian Ossetians in April 1922, called the South Ossetian Autonomous Oblast.
Why is Crimea important? ›The Black Sea ports of Crimea provide quick access to the Eastern Mediterranean, Balkans and Middle East. Historically, possession of the southern coast of Crimea was sought after by most empires of the greater region since antiquity (Roman, Byzantine, Ottoman, Russian, British and French, Nazi German, Soviet).
Could Russia's war on Ukraine triple ocean shipping? ›Russia's invasion into Ukraine could cause ocean shipping rates to triple, a supply-chain expert told The New York Times. The war has heavily impacted cargo ships that traverse the Black Sea and exacerbated backlogs at European ports.
How did Ukraine war affect ocean freight? ›The UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) says the war in the Ukraine is stifling trade and logistics of the country and the Black Sea region, increasing global vessel demand and the cost of shipping around the world.
What food does the US import from Ukraine? ›U.S. total imports of agricultural products from Ukraine totaled $143 million in 2019. Leading categories include: fruit & vegetable juices ($48 million), other vegetable oils ($31 million), snack foods ($12 million), other dairy products ($2 million), and processed fruit & vegetables ($918 thousand).
Does the US import wheat from Ukraine? ›The United States is stepping up to buy about 150,000 metric tons of grain from Ukraine in the next few weeks for an upcoming shipment of food aid from ports no longer blockaded by war, the World Food Program chief has told The Associated Press.
How much of the world's food comes from Ukraine? ›Ukraine is one of the world's major grain producers. The country mainly grows and exports wheat, corn and barley. According to the European Commission, Ukraine accounts for 10% of the world wheat market, 15% of the corn market, and 13% of the barley market.
How many troops does Russia have in Georgia? ›Russia has built 5 permanent military bases in South Ossetia manned by approximately 5,000 security personnel.
How much of Georgia is controlled by Russia? ›
August 2018 marks the ten-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of the territories of South Ossetia and Abkhazia in Georgia. A decade on, one-fifth of Georgian territory remains under Russian occupation.
Did Russia used to own Georgia? ›Until 1918, Georgia would be part of the Russian Empire. Russian rule offered the Georgians security from external threats, but it was also often heavy-handed and insensitive to locals. By the late 19th century, discontent with the Russian authorities led to a growing national movement.
How much land did Russia take from China? ›Thus, by pure diplomacy and only a few thousand troops, the Russians took advantage of Chinese weakness and the strength of the other European powers to annex 350,000 square miles (910,000 km2) of Chinese territory.
Do Crimeans want to be part of Russia? ›According to the Gallup's survey performed on April 21–27, 82.8% of Crimean people consider the referendum results reflecting most Crimeans' views, and 73.9% of Crimeans say Crimea's becoming part of Russia will make life better for themselves and their families, while 5.5% disagree.
Why is Black Sea important to Russia? ›The Black Sea is an important trade and transportation artery for Russia. Both Russia and Central Asian countries are highly dependent on the Russian port of Novorossiysk to export grain and oil by ship; this provides Moscow with useful leverage over land-locked Central Asia.
Can NATO ships enter the Black Sea? ›While the move blocked additional Russian warships not returning to their home ports from sailing into the Black Sea, the move also blocked warships from non-Black Sea NATO powers from going in. The last U.S. naval vessel to enter the Black Sea was the USS Arleigh Burke, a destroyer that left the sea in December 2021.
Can Russian ships get out of the Black Sea? ›That means Turkey cannot prevent warships from returning to their original bases through the passage. For example, a Russian fleet registered in the Black Sea but currently located in the Mediterranean Sea is allowed to pass through the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits and return to its base.
Can Russia transfer ships to Black Sea? ›In simple terms, Montreux stipulates that commercial ships of all nations can sail freely through the straits in peacetime. Yet it forbids non-littoral states from maintaining a permanent or large naval presence in the Black Sea—only Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, Romania, Georgia, and Bulgaria can do so.
Why is the Black Sea important to the economy of Ukraine? ›The Black Sea is an important year-round transportation artery, linking the eastern European countries with world markets. Odessa, the historic Ukrainian city, together with the nearby port of Illichivsk, account for most of the sea's freight turnover.
What can Ukraine use against ships? ›Danish land-based Harpoon launcher in 2002. Ukrainian forces have deployed Harpoon anti-ship missiles to the Black Sea as a counter to Russian surface ships in the region, Minister of Defense Oleksii Reznikov said.
Does Ukraine import oil and gas? ›
Overview. Ukraine is an important transit country for supplies of oil and natural gas from Russia to countries throughout Europe.
What is the US biggest import from Ukraine? ›In 2018, of the $1.4 billion in U.S. imports from Ukraine, the top commodity sectors were Base Metals (68.4%), Agriculture (9.3%), and Machinery and Mechanical Appliances (5.7%).
Does the US import any food from Russia? ›U.S. total imports of agricultural products from Russia totaled $69 million in 2019. Leading categories include: snack foods ($8 million), tree nuts ($6 million), other vegetable oils ($3 million), essential oils ($3 million), and other dairy products ($2 million).
Where does the US get most of its wheat? ›The primary origin for US Wheat imports is Canada, representing ~ 81% of all US Wheat imports since 18, with 802 kmt.
What is the most harvested crop in the United States? ›The largest United States crop in terms of total production is corn, the majority of which is grown in a region known as the Corn Belt. The second largest crop grown in the United States is soybeans.
Who is the biggest producer of wheat in the world? ›China is the world's largest wheat producer and has yielded more than 2.4 billion tonnes of wheat in the last 20 years, around 17% of total production. Russia is the largest global wheat exporter, exporting volumes worth more than $7.3 billion in 2021.
Is the US going to have a food shortage? ›Q: Will there be food shortages? A: There are currently no nationwide shortages of food, although in some cases the inventory of certain foods at your grocery store might be temporarily low before stores can restock.
What food shortages are coming? ›- Beef. Kryssia Campos/Getty Images. ...
- Lettuce. MERCURY studio/Shutterstock. ...
- Beer. Antonio Salaverry/Shutterstock. ...
- Champagne. Sabrewolf/Shutterstock. ...
- Oranges. Bloomberg/Getty Images. ...
- Cooking oil. Quality Stock Arts/Shutterstock. ...
- Butter. Tanya Sid/Shutterstock. ...
- Corn. GBJSTOCK/Shutterstock.
Although the US is generally reluctant to import agricultural goods, it did purchase around $143 million of agricultural products from Ukraine in 2019. This was in large part due to the $48 million of fruit and vegetable juices and $31 million of vegetable oils imported.
How many Russians are moving to Georgia? ›Following the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, an estimated 100,000 Russian citizens and residents are estimated to have left Russia by mid-March 2022 as economic migrants. In September 2022 alone 222,274 people entered Georgia from Russia, according to the Georgian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
Is Georgia in NATO Russia? ›
Like others, Georgia joined the NATO-run North Atlantic Cooperation Council in 1992 and the Partnership for Peace, signing their agreement on March 23, 1994. Georgia was a founding member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, an alternative Russian-led military alliance, in 1994, but withdrew in 1999.
How many personal troops does Russia have? ›...
Number of military personnel in Russia as of 2023, by type (in 1,000s)
Characteristic | Military personnel in thousands |
---|---|
Active | 830.9 |
Reserve | 250 |
Paramilitary | 250 |
In 1800, Paul signed a proclamation on the annexation of Georgia to the Russian Empire, which was finalized the following year by Tsar Alexander I. Georgia regained independence in 1918 only to be occupied by Bolshevik Russia in 1921, forming the Soviet Union in 1922.
What part of Georgia did Russia take over? ›For decades, the citizens of Georgia in Abkhazia and South Ossetia have lived under Russian occupation and tens of thousands have been displaced, persecuted, and impoverished. Lives and livelihoods have been taken from them.
Why is Armenia allies with Russia? ›Military cooperation between Armenia and Russia is based on both states being members of the military alliance (CSTO) as well as participants in the Joint CIS Air Defense System.
Who controls the country of Georgia? ›Georgia საქართველო (Georgian) Sakartvelo | |
---|---|
Government | Unitary parliamentary republic |
• President | Salome Zourabichvili |
• Prime Minister | Irakli Garibashvili |
• Chairperson of the Parliament | Shalva Papuashvili |
The native Georgian name for the country is Sakartvelo (საქართველო).
Is Georgia an ally of Ukraine? ›Since their independence from the Soviet Union, Georgia and Ukraine consider each other strategic partners and have forged close political and cultural relations.
Why did Russia sell Alaska? ›Defeat in the Crimean War further reduced Russian interest in this region. Russia offered to sell Alaska to the United States in 1859, believing the United States would off-set the designs of Russia's greatest rival in the Pacific, Great Britain.
Does Russia own the most land in the world? ›Russia (Russian: Россия) is the largest country in the world, covering over 17,125,192 km2 (6,612,074 sq mi), and encompassing more than one-eighth of Earth's inhabited land area.
Who is Russia's largest trading partner? ›
The value of total exports from Russia to its major trade partner — China — amounted to nearly 69 billion U.S. dollars in 2021.
What percentage of crimeans identify as Russian? ›82% Russian. 10% Crimean Tatar. 3% Russian and Ukrainian equally.
What if Russia loses Crimea? ›Losing Crimea, which holds an important naval base in Sevastopol, to Ukraine would cross a “real red line” for Russia and likely risk an escalation of the ongoing war, a former U.S. defense secretary said Wednesday.
Why did Russia take Crimea? ›Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu said the country's military actions in Crimea were undertaken by forces of the Black Sea Fleet and were justified by "threat to lives of Crimean civilians" and danger of "takeover of Russian military infrastructure by extremists".
Can a US aircraft carrier enter the Black Sea? ›Since the closure, only warships with ports on the Black Sea, which includes Russia's Black Sea Fleet and Turkish ships, can enter. The last American warship to transit the strait was USS Arleigh Burke (DDG-51), which left the Black Sea on Dec. 15, 2021.
How many warships does Russia have left in the Black Sea? ›Russian Black Sea Fleet | |
---|---|
Size | 25,000 personnel (including marines) c. 40 surface warships (surface combatants, amphibious, mine warfare) plus support and auxiliaries 7 submarines (2 of which are in the Mediterranean as of March 2022) |
Part of | Russian Armed Forces |
Swimming in the Black Sea is possible with a clean freshwater surface, though it offers a different experience from other water bodies. With its strange features, including the high level of minerals and salt, usually, the objects tend to float on the water.
How the Russia and Ukraine war is worsening shipping snarls and pushing up freight rates? ›How the Russia-Ukraine war is worsening shipping snarls and pushing up freight rates. The Russia-Ukraine war is severely disrupting shipping and air freight. Russian forces are cutting off shipping routes, logistics firms are suspending services and air freight rates are skyrocketing, supply chain firms said.
Is the war in Ukraine affecting cruise ships? ›The war between Ukraine in Russia has impacted cruise tourism in the Black Sea, causing tour operators to cancel programs for 39 cruise ships.
How did the Ukraine war affect commodities? ›Commodity price increase due to the Russia-Ukraine war 2022
Furthermore, coal prices grew by around 69 percent. A significant increase was also recorded in prices of metals exported by Russia, such as nickel, palladium, and aluminum.
How many ships did Russia steal from Ukraine? ›
...
Capture of Southern Naval Base.
The blockade of the Ukrainian fleet in Donuzlav | |
---|---|
None | 13 ships captured, some later returned |
Tough sanctions would rattle commodity markets
There would still be a risk to Russian gas flows via Ukraine to Europe. While, depending on the scale of any invasion, it could also potentially have an impact on the production and export of Ukrainian agricultural commodities, including corn and wheat.
Flight restrictions and more expensive fuel resulting from Russia's Ukraine invasion are driving up airfreight prices. It could mean even costlier goods for consumers, who are already grappling with high inflation.
Why does the war in Ukraine affect oil prices? ›Strong economic recovery coupled with low investment in oil production were hugely exacerbated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This sent the oil price to stratospheric levels and this is being passed over to consumers at the pump.
Do cruise ships still go to Russia? ›Currently, all major cruise lines such as Norwegian Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, MSC Cruises, Holland America Line, Viking Cruises, Royal Caribbean International, Oceania Cruises, Silversea Cruises, Celebrity Cruises, and Seabourn, all have 2022 sailings that include a stop at the Russian port of St. Petersburg.
Where are cruise ships going instead of Russia? ›Its cruise that was scheduled to visit Vladivostok, Russia, will instead visit Busan, South Korea. "We stand for peace, and our thoughts are with those who are in harm's way," the company said in a news release.
Did Ukraine shoot down cruise missiles? ›Since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2021, Ukraine has launched multiple strikes against Russian positions in Crimea and operations that its military said destroyed Russian Kalibr cruise missiles.
What products will be in short supply because of Russia? ›- Corn. Historically, Ukraine has been one of the world's leading providers of corn, but that's all changed since Russia's invasion — which has no end in sight. ...
- Bread. ...
- Vegetable Oil. ...
- Baby Formula. ...
- Champagne. ...
- Canned Pet Food.
Metals. Russia and Ukraine lead the global production of metals such as nickel, copper and iron. They are also largely involved in the export and manufacture of other essential raw materials like neon, palladium and platinum.
What does Russia export the most? ›The most recent exports are led by Crude Petroleum ($113B), Refined Petroleum ($81.8B), Petroleum Gas ($37.7B), Coal Briquettes ($19.1B), and Gold ($19.1B). The most common destination for the exports of Russia are China ($70.9B), Netherlands ($39B), United States ($27.4B), United Kingdom ($24.7B), and Italy ($22.2B).
How many planes has Russia lost in Ukraine? ›
“[Russia has] downed over 60 Ukrainian aircraft,” he added. “Ukraine's downed over 70 Russian aircraft. So both of their integrated air and missile defense, especially when you're talking about going against aircraft, they've been very effective. And that's why they're not flying over one another's country.”
How many Russian ships left in the Black Sea? ›Russian Black Sea Fleet | |
---|---|
Size | 25,000 personnel (including marines) c. 40 surface warships (surface combatants, amphibious, mine warfare) plus support and auxiliaries 7 submarines (2 of which are in the Mediterranean as of March 2022) |
Part of | Russian Armed Forces |
Ukraine claims close to 3,300 Russian tank losses. Oryx, an independent team of analysts that has tracked open-source intelligence on equipment losses throughout the war, estimated that more than 1,700 Russian tanks have been destroyed, damaged or captured. An error occurred. Please try again later.